Trevor Larnach -- Prospect Evaluation
Prospect Evaluation sources for Trevor Larnach of the Minnesota Twins
Trevor Larnach represents one of the Minnesota Twins' top offensive prospects. The 6-foot-4, 223-pound left-handed hitter was drafted 20th overall in 2018 from Oregon State University, which won that year's College World Series alongside fellow prospects Nick Madrigal (later fourth overall) and Adley Rutschman (later first overall in 2019). Larnach has progressed through the minor league system with impressive production, posting a combined .307/.385/.468 line across 169 games. In his Rookie-level debut at Elizabethton in July 2018, he immediately demonstrated his run-producing ability with an .311/.413/.492 line, 11 strikeouts, 10 walks, and 16 RBIs in just 18 games. During his first full season in 2019, Larnach started slowly at Class A Advanced Fort Myers, batting .244/.297/.322 through April. However, his production surged in May when he hit .371/.456/.619 with four home runs over 26 games, including a 3-for-4 performance with a home run, double, and five RBIs on May 29 against the Florida Fire Frogs that earned him Player of the Month honors. When asked about his turnaround, Larnach attributed his success to maintaining consistency: 'I'm just sticking with the process and doing what I always do. Baseball is a game of failures, so if you fail, it's just part of the game. You just have to keep grinding through it and keep doing what you do best and just stick with your process.' Following his success at Class A Advanced, the Twins promoted him to Double-A Pensacola, the significant jump that typically challenges minor league prospects.
The Minnesota Twins used the 20th overall pick in the 2018 MLB Draft to select Trevor Larnach, a 21-year-old left-handed outfielder from Oregon State University. As a junior, Larnach hit .324/.447/.637 with 17 home runs across 204 plate appearances, demonstrating both advanced hitting ability and developing power. MLB.com scouting grades rate him with a 55 in both hit and power, though his running and fielding grades are lower at 40 and 50 respectively, indicating an offensive-focused profile. Larnach projects as a corner outfielder in professional baseball who scouts expect will both strike out and walk at elevated rates. His ability to hit the ball the other way should help him keep opposing defenses honest. The Twins allocated a $3,120,000 signing bonus pool slot for the 20th pick to sign Larnach. Given his advanced college bat, analysts expect he could move through the minor league system quickly and either replace one of the team's current outfielders or serve as trade bait if he succeeds early in his professional career.
Trevor Larnach is a 6-foot-4, 210-pound left-handed outfielder who was drafted 20th overall by the Minnesota Twins in 2018. After hitting only 3 home runs across 88 games during his first two seasons at Oregon State, Larnach made a significant mechanical adjustment in his junior season by quieting his load and better utilizing his lower body strength. This change has allowed him to hit with power to the pull side and left-center gap, resulting in exceptional production: through 34 games, he posted a .336/.452/.680 slash line with 11 home runs and 11 doubles despite playing in a Pac-12 environment that typically suppresses home run rates.
Larnach ranks in the top 20 nationally in home runs, home runs per game, RBIs per game, and slugging percentage. Area scouts believe his improved mechanics and better utilization of his natural strength could enable him to hit 25 or more home runs as a professional. His current statistics show 80 at-bats with a .288 AVG, .418 OBP, and .425 SLG.
Defensively, Larnach projects as a corner outfielder with below-average speed but sufficient athleticism to handle routine plays. He possesses an average arm that has improved following elbow surgery. His ranking has fluctuated within the Twins organization, from #5 prospect in 2019 to #3 in 2020 to #2 in 2021, and he was ranked #39 by Baseball America in 2021.
Trevor Larnach is a 21-year-old, 6'4" outfielder from Oregon State University expected to be selected in the first round of the 2018 MLB Draft on June 4. He previously turned down a 40th-round selection from the San Diego Padres in 2015 to remain at Oregon State, where he has played alongside major league standouts Jacoby Ellsbury and Michael Conforto. When fellow first-round prospect Nick Madrigal was injured in February, Larnach stepped up to help lead the Beavers to a 47-10-1 record, demonstrating leadership and poise.
Larnach's primary strength is his offensive ability. He possesses a smooth, loose swing that generates significant power with minimal effort. In 2018, he recorded a .322/.444/.630 slash line with 17 home runs and 40 walks across 56 games (208 at-bats), demonstrating polished hitting skills and earning comparisons to Christian Yelich. He barrels the ball consistently and can drive it effectively to all fields, including the opposite field.
His primary weakness is his lack of speed, which limits his defensive versatility and positioning. While he possesses a plus arm, scouts project him as a left fielder. Additionally, his 25% strikeout rate, though not prohibitive, raises concerns about maintaining a .300 batting average against professional pitchers. Despite these limitations, Larnach's advanced hitting ability has teams intrigued about his major league readiness. Mock drafts show relatively consistent placement: Fangraphs ranks him 21st, MLB Pipeline 26th, and SB Nation projects the Kansas City Royals will select him 18th overall.